WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
A.J. DillonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Packers vs. Saints
Right now, A.J. Dillon’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-113).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects A.J. Dillon to garner 17.7 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
- The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
- Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-most yards in football (127 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.54 seconds per play.
- A.J. Dillon’s running efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a mere 2.57 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.15 figure last year.
- A.J. Dillon has been among the worst running backs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.32 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile.
- The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards
73
Rushing Yards
