Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Skyy Moore from EV Insight

Skyy MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, Skyy Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs offense as the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Skyy Moore to be much more involved in his offense’s passing game this week (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.0% in games he has played).
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown weak efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 9.92 yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

Cons

The Chiefs are a massive 12.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
Skyy Moore has been among the bottom wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.04 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 19th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards