NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Skyy MooreReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Chiefs vs. Bears
Right now, Skyy Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs offense as the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per play.
- THE BLITZ projects Skyy Moore to be much more involved in his offense’s passing game this week (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.0% in games he has played).
- The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown weak efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 9.92 yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.
Cons
- The Chiefs are a massive 12.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
- Opposing teams have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
- Skyy Moore has been among the bottom wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.04 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 19th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards
38
Receiving Yards
