Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashod Bateman from EV Insight

Rashod BatemanReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashod Bateman’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 45.5 (-115) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 67.3 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Rashod Bateman has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 46.0 yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.
Rashod Bateman has been among the top WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 4.98 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 76th percentile.
The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 117.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
Rashod Bateman’s possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.5% to 47.7%.
Rashod Bateman’s pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, totaling just 7.31 yards-per-target compared to a 8.56 mark last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards