Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Marquise Brown from EV Insight

Marquise BrownReceiving Yards

Right now, Marquise Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-115/-105).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 53.5 (-105) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.25 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

Cons

Marquise Brown’s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 65.8% to 62.8%.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown good efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Receiving Yards