NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Luke MusgraveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Packers vs. Saints
Right now, Luke Musgrave’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 28.5 (-110) after it opened @ 27.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Luke Musgrave to earn 5.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
- Luke Musgrave has been responsible for a colossal 18.9% of his team’s air yards this year: 95th percentile among TEs.
- The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
- Luke Musgrave has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging an impressive 9.39 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.54 seconds per play.
- The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 27.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.
- The New Orleans Saints pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the league (54.4%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (54.4%).
- The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards
37
Receiving Yards
