THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to notch 4.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to be a more integral piece of his team’s passing offense this week (14.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (9.1% in games he has played).
Hayden Hurst has accounted for a monstrous 12.5% of his offense’s air yards this year: 84th percentile among tight ends.
Hayden Hurst has been among the most reliable receivers in football among tight ends, hauling in a stellar 80.4% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.
Cons
The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Hayden Hurst’s receiving efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating a mere 5.58 yards-per-target compared to a 7.17 mark last year.
Hayden Hurst has been among the weakest TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 3.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.