Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (+105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 47.5 (-125) after it opened @ 52.5 (-110).

Pros

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accumulate 7.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London has been a key part of his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 28.1% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.
Drake London has been among the weakest wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 11th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards