Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-115/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 54.5 (-115) after it opened @ 54.5 (-115).

Pros

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accrue 7.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.26 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in football.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 4th-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 118.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 59.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to be much less involved in his offense’s passing offense this week (27.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (32.1% in games he has played).
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards