Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
D.J. MooreReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Panthers vs. Saints
Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to notch 7.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
- D.J. Moore has been heavily involved in his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 28.4% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
- D.J. Moore has put up a whopping 94.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
- D.J. Moore has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, completing a measly 57.0% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers
- The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
- The Carolina Panthers O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards
60
Receiving Yards
