Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Austin HooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Titans vs. Raiders
Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 20.5 (-115) after it opened @ 21.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Tennessee Titans have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 64.8 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to garner 4.0 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
- Austin Hooper has been an integral part of his team’s passing attack, earning a Target Share of 12.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
- Austin Hooper has compiled a monstrous 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among tight ends.
- The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Austin Hooper’s sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.0% to 43.9%.
- Austin Hooper’s pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 5.55 yards-per-target vs a 6.62 mark last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards
27
Receiving Yards
