Week 3 Player Props: Passing Yards for Ryan Tannehill from EV Insight

Ryan TannehillPassing Yards

Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 202.5 yards (-115/-113).

Pros

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 123.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 4th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.2 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
210
Passing Yards