Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kirk CousinsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Vikings vs. Chargers
Right now, Kirk Cousins’s passing yards prop is set at 293.5 yards (-130/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 293.5 (-130) after it opened @ 289.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 67.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Kirk Cousins has been among the leading quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 273.0 yards per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.
Cons
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
- The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Opposing teams have passed for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 203.0 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in football against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season (67.9%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
317
Passing Yards
317
Passing Yards
