Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenny PickettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Raiders vs. Steelers
Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 221.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely creating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Kenny Pickett’s passing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 64.9% to 60.1%.
- Kenny Pickett has been among the worst per-play passers in the league this year, averaging just 5.73 yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 9th percentile.
- The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
267
Passing Yards
267
Passing Yards
