Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
49ers vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 217.5 yards (-125/-109).
The public has bet the OVER up to 217.5 (-125) after it opened @ 213.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Giants are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 59.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 31.0 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- Daniel Jones’s passing precision has declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.9% to 63.6%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
201
Passing Yards
201
Passing Yards
