Week 3 Player Props: Passing Yards for Daniel Jones from EV Insight

Daniel JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 217.5 yards (-125/-109).

The public has bet the OVER up to 217.5 (-125) after it opened @ 213.5 (-117).

Pros

The Giants are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 59.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 31.0 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Daniel Jones’s passing precision has declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.9% to 63.6%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
201
Passing Yards