Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Buccaneers vs. Bears
Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-101/-135).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 54.5 (-135) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 46.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to earn 15.6 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the league (156 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 8th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
- Rachaad White’s rushing efficiency (3.57 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (5th percentile among running backs).
- Rachaad White has been among the bottom RBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.29 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 3rd percentile.
- The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards
65
Rushing Yards
