Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Nick Chubb from EV Insight

Nick ChubbRushing Yards

Right now, Nick Chubb’s rushing yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (-132/+102).

The public has bet the OVER up to 79.5 (-132) after it opened @ 75.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to garner 17.0 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Nick Chubb has been given 59.3% of his offense’s rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Nick Chubb has generated 89.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (98th percentile).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
80
Rushing Yards