Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Miles Sanders from EV Insight

Miles SandersRushing Yards

Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-103/-129).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (-103) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to earn 16.5 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
Miles Sanders has been given 51.1% of his team’s carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among running backs.
The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Miles Sanders has grinded out 73.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among running backs (95th percentile).
Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most yards in football (130 per game) against the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season.

Cons

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.0 plays per game.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards