Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Michael Carter from EV Insight

Michael CarterRushing Yards

Right now, Michael Carter’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 39.5 (-110) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).

Pros

Michael Carter has garnered 50.2% of his team’s rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Michael Carter has been among the leading RBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 3.36 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 87th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles rank as the 7th-worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Cons

The Jets are a 6-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns defense has had the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding just 4.29 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
48
Rushing Yards