NFL

Bets

September 17, 2023

Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kyren Williams from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards

Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 28.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Kyren Williams to total 12.4 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Kyren Williams to be a more important option in his offense’s running game this week (62.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.8% in games he has played).

Cons

The Rams are a massive 7.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 33.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 58.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 9th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have run for the least yards in football (just 75 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards