Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Khalil Herbert from EV Insight

Khalil HerbertRushing Yards

Right now, Khalil Herbert’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Khalil Herbert to earn 13.9 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Khalil Herbert to be a more integral piece of his offense’s running game this week (43.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (30.3% in games he has played).
The Chicago Bears offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
Khalil Herbert has averaged 51.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in football among running backs (75th percentile).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging just 53.6 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards