Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Lions vs. Seahawks
Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Kenneth Walker to accumulate 14.5 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
- Kenneth Walker has been given 61.6% of his team’s carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile among RBs.
- Kenneth Walker has picked up 70.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (94th percentile).
- The Detroit Lions defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering 5.27 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Seattle Seahawks have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging just 55.9 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Rushing Yards
70
Rushing Yards
