Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Joe Mixon from EV Insight

Joe Mixon

Joe MixonRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 2

Cowboys vs. Bengals

Right now, Joe Mixon’s rushing yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 71.5 (-115) after it opened @ 70.5 (-115).


  • The Bengals are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accumulate 19.5 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Joe Mixon has garnered 80.8% of his team’s rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
  • Joe Mixon has generated 58.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (89th percentile).
  • The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.8% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Joe Mixon’s ground effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating a measly 2.98 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.09 rate last season.
  • Joe Mixon has taken a step back when it comes to grinding out extra ground yardage this season, totaling 1.78 yards-after-contact vs a 3.09 rate last season.

Rushing Yards

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