Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Cook from EV Insight

James CookRushing Yards

Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 56.5 (-114) after it opened @ 47.5 (-114).

Pros

The Bills are a giant 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects James Cook to be a much bigger part of his team’s running game this week (46.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (21.0% in games he has played).
James Cook’s running effectiveness (5.79 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (94th percentile among RBs).
James Cook has been among the top running backs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.09 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 77th percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering 4.75 yards-per-carry.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-least run-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 30.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have run the 7th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Projection

THE BLITZ
51
Rushing Yards