Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight

James ConnerRushing Yards

Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 51.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 12.7 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
James Conner has been given 52.8% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
James Conner has grinded out 51.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (83rd percentile).
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Cons

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.16 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
56
Rushing Yards