Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Isiah PachecoRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Jaguars vs. Chiefs
Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-129) after it opened @ 40.5 (-119).
Pros
- The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Isiah Pacheco has been given 40.6% of his offense’s rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
- The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 36.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars defense boasts the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, allowing just 4.23 yards-per-carry.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards
50
Rushing Yards
