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Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Derrick Henry from EV Insight

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Derrick Henry

Derrick HenryRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 2

Titans vs. Chargers

Right now, Derrick Henry’s rushing yards prop is set at 86.5 yards (-125/+105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 86.5 (-125) after it opened @ 79.5 (-110).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most run-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.0% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to accumulate 19.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • Derrick Henry has earned 79.6% of his offense’s rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • Derrick Henry has averaged 90.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (99th percentile).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering 5.49 yards-per-carry.
Cons

  • The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-worst paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.

Projection
THE BLITZ
86
Rushing Yards

Previous Spotlight Props: Top Prop Picks for Vikings-Eagles, Week 2 Next Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Kittle from EV Insight