Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Breece HallRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Cowboys vs. Jets
Right now, Breece Hall’s rushing yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-120) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).
Pros
- Breece Hall has received 46.4% of his offense’s rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
- Breece Hall has grinded out 66.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (92nd percentile).
- Breece Hall’s running efficiency (5.77 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (94th percentile among running backs).
- Breece Hall has been among the leading running backs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 5.12 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 99th percentile.
Cons
- The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Zach Wilson this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Jets are a massive 8.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 4th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 4th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Dallas Cowboys defense has had the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding just 4.38 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
47
Rushing Yards
47
Rushing Yards
