Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Bijan Robinson from EV Insight

Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards

Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-135/-101).

The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-135) after it opened @ 54.5 (-117).

Pros

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Bijan Robinson to accrue 13.0 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Green Bay Packers defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding 5.07 yards-per-carry.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Green Bay Packers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best DE corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards