Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Falcons vs. Packers
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-135/-101).
The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-135) after it opened @ 54.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Bijan Robinson to accrue 13.0 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
- The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
- The Green Bay Packers defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding 5.07 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.4 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Green Bay Packers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best DE corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards
55
Rushing Yards
