Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Terry McLaurin from EV Insight

Terry McLaurinReceiving Yards

Right now, Terry McLaurin’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-120) after it opened @ 47.5 (-120).

Pros

The Washington Commanders boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 9.6% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Commanders are a 3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have run the 3rd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 62.3 plays per game.
Terry McLaurin has been among the top pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 65.0 yards per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to run the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 123.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus WRs since the start of last season, conceding 7.12 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards