Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Falcons vs. Packers
Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Packers are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Romeo Doubs to accumulate 7.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
- The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has not been good when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-most in the league.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Romeo Doubs has been among the least effective receivers in football, averaging just 7.29 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 19th percentile among wideouts
- Romeo Doubs has been among the bottom WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.
- The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards
60
Receiving Yards
