Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Tonyan from EV Insight

Robert TonyanReceiving Yards

Right now, Robert Tonyan’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 25.5 (-115) after it opened @ 25.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Robert Tonyan has run a route on 64.0% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
Robert Tonyan has accumulated a monstrous 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among tight ends.
Robert Tonyan has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football among tight ends, averaging an impressive 8.72 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Cons

The Packers are a heavy 10-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 35.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.4%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (64.4%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards