Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Parris Campbell from EV Insight

Parris CampbellReceiving Yards

Right now, Parris Campbell’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 24.5 (-120) after it opened @ 24.5 (-115).

Pros

The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Parris Campbell has run a route on 87.5% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile among WRs.
The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 10th-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Cons

The Giants are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Parris Campbell has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging just 6.84 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 8th percentile among wide receivers
The Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 126.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards