Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Parris CampbellReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Cardinals vs. Giants
Right now, Parris Campbell’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 24.5 (-120) after it opened @ 24.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Parris Campbell has run a route on 87.5% of his team’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile among WRs.
- The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 10th-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Cons
- The Giants are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Parris Campbell has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging just 6.84 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 8th percentile among wide receivers
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 126.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards
27
Receiving Yards
