Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 22.5 (-110) after it opened @ 22.5 (-110).

Pros

The Seahawks are a huge 8.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to earn 3.9 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among TEs.
Noah Fant has been a key part of his team’s pass game, posting a Target Share of 18.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 91st percentile among TEs.
Noah Fant has put up a whopping 34.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among TEs.
Noah Fant has been among the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 39.0 yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.1 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards