Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Hunter Henry from EV Insight

Hunter HenryReceiving Yards

Right now, Hunter Henry’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-115/-113).

The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-115) after it opened @ 33.5 (-114).

Pros

The Patriots have been the 7th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 68.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
Hunter Henry has been among the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 32.0 yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Cons

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 9th-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards