Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).

Pros

The Falcons are a big 10.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to garner 7.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among WRs.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.2 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown good efficiency versus WRs since the start of last season, giving up 7.65 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards