Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-130) after it opened @ 50.5 (-115).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to garner 7.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
Drake London has been a key part of his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 28.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London has totaled a whopping 71.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among WRs.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Cons

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
Drake London has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 62.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile among WRs

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards