Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DK Metcalf from EV Insight

DK MetcalfReceiving Yards

Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 55.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-115).

Pros

The Seahawks are a huge 8.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects DK Metcalf to total 7.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
DK Metcalf has been heavily involved in his team’s passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 27.2% since the start of last season, which places him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
DK Metcalf has totaled a whopping 92.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
DK Metcalf has been among the top pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 57.0 yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.1 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards