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Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Diontae Johnson from EV Insight

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Diontae Johnson

Diontae JohnsonReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 2

Steelers vs. Patriots

Right now, Diontae Johnson’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 55.5 (-105) after it opened @ 54.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 64.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to total 9.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Diontae Johnson has been heavily involved in his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 28.8% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
  • Diontae Johnson has posted a whopping 92.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the league.
  • Diontae Johnson’s receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, averaging a measly 6.16 yards-per-target vs a 7.32 rate last season.
  • The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 128.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (60.9%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (60.9%).

Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Receiving Yards

Previous Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Week 2 Betting Preview Next Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Sterling Shepard from EV Insight
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