Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
David NjokuReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Steelers vs. Browns
Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (-115) after it opened @ 28.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to earn 5.1 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among TEs.
- David Njoku has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 19.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 95th percentile among TEs.
- David Njoku has been among the top pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 48.0 yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the NFL.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles profile as the 5th-best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
