Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 95.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 95.5 (-105) after it opened @ 84.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 11.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams has been a big part of his team’s passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 34.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 100th percentile among WRs.

Cons

The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Davante Adams’s ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 64.4%.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 140.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
114
Receiving Yards