NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Raiders vs. Cardinals
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 95.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 95.5 (-105) after it opened @ 84.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 11.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
- Davante Adams has been a big part of his team’s passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 34.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
- The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- Davante Adams’s ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 64.4%.
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 140.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
114
Receiving Yards
114
Receiving Yards
