Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (-110) after it opened @ 72.5 (-114).

Pros

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to garner 11.3 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 30.9% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Davante Adams has accumulated a whopping 122.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among wideouts.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
Davante Adams has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a mere 59.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile among wideouts
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.08 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in football.
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 9th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
98
Receiving Yards