Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Darren Waller from EV Insight

Darren WallerReceiving Yards

Right now, Darren Waller’s receiving yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 52.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Darren Waller has run a route on 88.6% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Darren Waller to accumulate 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

Cons

The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.3%) to tight ends since the start of last season (64.3%).
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. tight ends since the start of last season, yielding 6.85 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards