Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Darnell Mooney from EV Insight

Darnell MooneyReceiving Yards

Right now, Darnell Mooney’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Bears are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.1% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to accrue 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
Darnell Mooney has totaled a colossal 85.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wide receivers.

Cons

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Darnell Mooney has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a measly 7.47 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 23rd percentile among wideouts

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards