NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Texans vs. Colts
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-130) after it opened @ 33.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Dalton Schultz has run a route on 80.2% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to total 5.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
- Dalton Schultz has accrued a whopping 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among tight ends.
Cons
- The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
- The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
- Dalton Schultz has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in a measly 63.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 10th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards
39
Receiving Yards
