Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-130) after it opened @ 33.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 80.2% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to total 5.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
Dalton Schultz has accrued a whopping 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among tight ends.

Cons

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Dalton Schultz has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in a measly 63.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 10th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards