Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Chigoziem OkonkwoReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Titans vs. Chargers
Right now, Chigoziem Okonkwo’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-120) after it opened @ 31.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to total 5.0 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among TEs.
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has compiled a monstrous 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among TEs.
- Chigoziem Okonkwo’s 23.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 75th percentile for tight ends.
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the league among tight ends, averaging a terrific 8.61 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 76th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-worst paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the bottom tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
45
Receiving Yards
45
Receiving Yards
