Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight

CeeDee LambReceiving Yards

Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-115) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).

Pros

The Dallas Cowboys will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to garner 8.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
CeeDee Lamb has been a big part of his team’s passing attack, earning a Target Share of 28.3% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
CeeDee Lamb has been among the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 80.0 yards per game while grading out in the 96th percentile.

Cons

The Cowboys are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets defense has yielded the least receiving yards per game in the league (just 103.0) to wide receivers since the start of last season.
The New York Jets pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, surrendering 6.67 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards