Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cameron Brate from EV Insight

Cameron BrateReceiving Yards

Right now, Cameron Brate’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (-105/-115).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 21.5 (-115) after it opened @ 21.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Cameron Brate to garner 5.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among TEs.

Cons

Cameron Brate has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a measly 61.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 13th percentile.
Cameron Brate has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a mere 5.75 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 5th percentile.
Cameron Brate has been among the bottom tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 2.74 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
The New Orleans Saints defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 36.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (62.8%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (62.8%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards