NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/3)
Alex Christenson
Cameron BrateReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Saints vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Cameron Brate’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (-105/-115).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 21.5 (-115) after it opened @ 21.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Cameron Brate to garner 5.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among TEs.
Cons
- Cameron Brate has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a measly 61.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 13th percentile.
- Cameron Brate has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a mere 5.75 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 5th percentile.
- Cameron Brate has been among the bottom tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 2.74 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
- The New Orleans Saints defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 36.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.
- The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (62.8%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (62.8%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards
35
Receiving Yards
