Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cade OttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Buccaneers vs. Bears
Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
- Cade Otton has run a route on 64.5% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
- Cade Otton has accumulated a colossal 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among TEs.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
- Cade Otton has been among the top pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 28.0 yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.
Cons
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 8th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
- Cade Otton has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in a mere 66.5% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
20
Receiving Yards
20
Receiving Yards
