Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Adam Trautman from EV Insight

Adam TrautmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Adam Trautman’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 24.5 (-110) after it opened @ 23.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Adam Trautman to be a more important option in his team’s passing offense this week (14.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.2% in games he has played).
Adam Trautman’s receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 80.7% to 100.0%.
Adam Trautman has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a terrific 9.39 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Cons

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Broncos are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards